Just a bad run
Sunday, January 08, 2006
I don't have a blog but have been a reader of them for a little while, thought that this might be a way for me to give it a try. I have been running extremely bad here of late losing hands that I am a 70-30 favorite on or better with stunning regularity both online and live. It is to the point that I almost fear being a favorite in a hand, which really sucks because usually when I put money in I am. Here are some examples of late. Today in a club tourney third hand I am UTG with wired red queens, blinds are 50-100, I raise to 500 everyone folds to the button who re-raises to 1000. We start with 2000 in chips, I re-raise all in for a total of 2000 he calls, I think shit did I run into aces or kings? I flip over and say I have queens, he turns over QJos. I am stunned, I am thinking to myself what in the hell was he thinking, I am happy to see this for now I am at least 75% to win I look it up later I am 90% to win which just makes it worse. He flops an open ended straight draw that gets there on there turn, I need a jack on the river to give me a split, it does not come. Couple weeks ago I had Jacks cracked exactly like this JJ against J-9 offsuit, the guy calls my all-in for 3/4 of his stack and hits the straight. Earlier in the day in another tourney I had AKs in hearts UTG, I raise the guy next to me goes all-in it is only 550 more for me to call and I have 3 times that in chips left so I call. He turns over Q-5 of hearts. I am better than 60-40 here turns out that I am actually 70-30 to win. He hits a queen on the turn and I do not improve. Not the worst beat in the world but it just sucks to watch people win with crap while you play smart and wait for your opportunities and then get hammered when you are a big favorite to win. I have many more such stories to tell but I think that this will do for now. Thanks for listening.
Greyhawke
Greyhawke